[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[Nashville EMWIN]

ACUS11 KWNS 141703
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141703
TNZ000-KYZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-141900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1665
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KY...EXTREME SWRN VA...WRN NC...TN....NRN
PORTIONS OF MS/AL/GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 141703Z - 141900Z

TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG AND PERHAPS BEHIND COLD FRONT
SETTLING SEWD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WATCHES
MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REGION SHORTLY.

WEAKLY CONVERGENT COLD FRONT WAS SETTLING SWD ACROSS WRN AND MIDDLE
TN AND THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LIFT ALONG THE
BOUNDARY SHOULD BE MAINTAINED BY BROADLY DIFFLUENT MID LEVEL FLOW IN
THE WAKE OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY/GREAT
LAKES REGIONS. VERY STRONG INSTABILITY WILL FUEL INTENSE TSTM
UPDRAFTS WITHIN DEEP NWLY FLOW REGIME. OBSERVED AND FORECAST SHEAR
PARAMETERS WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS AND/OR BOWING LINE SEGMENTS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE.

..CARBIN.. 07/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

36168248 34688383 34188540 34898977 35548978 36438928
36908877 36798584 37258248



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