[BNAWX] Flood Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WGUS84 KOHX 080216
FLSOHX
TNC021-037-055-081-085-099-119-135-187-ALC077-083-080814-


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
814 PM CST TUE DEC 07 2004

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE BUFFALO RIVER...
DUCK RIVER...ELK RIVER...HARPETH RIVER...SHOAL CREEK...


AFFECTING THESE COUNTIES IN ALABAMA: LAUDERDALE...LIMESTONE AND IN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE: CHEATHAM...DAVIDSON...GILES...HICKMAN...HUMPHREYS...LAWRENCE...
MAURY...PERRY...WILLIAMSON.

DUCK RIVER AT COLUMBIA...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         32.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        30.5 FEET AND RISING AT 6 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:      EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 32.0 FT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 33.5 FT  TOMORROW EVENING THEN
FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 32.0 FT   THURSDAY  EARLY AFTERNOON 28.0
FT  LATE  FRIDAY  MORNING THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE TO NEAR 12.5 FT   SUNDAY
MORNING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.


AT THESE LEVELS...FLOOD WATERS REACH HWY 247 AT THE DUCK RIVER...WEST OF
COLUMBIA.

DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         22.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        23.7 FEET AND RISING AT 5 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:      FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 28.5 FT  TOMORROW EARLY
AFTERNOON THEN FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 22.0 FT   SATURDAY  MORNING
17.0 FT   SUNDAY  MORNING THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE TO NEAR 16.5 FT   SUNDAY
MORNING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE FLOODING.


AT THESE LEVELS...FLOOD WATERS COVER THE SOCCER FIELDS AND BOTTOMLAND ALONG THE
RIVER. HICKMAN SPRINGS ROAD, DEFEATED CREEK ROAD, AND LEATHERWOOD ROAD WILL BE
IMPASSABLE. DEFEATED CREEK WILL FLOOD DUE TO BACKWATER FROM THE DUCK RIVER.

BUFFALO RIVER NEAR LOBELVILLE...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         10.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        13.3 FEET AND RISING AT 7 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:      FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 18.0 FT  EARLY  THURSDAY
MORNING THEN FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FT   SATURDAY  EARLY
AFTERNOON THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE TO NEAR 9.0 FT   SUNDAY  MORNING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE FLOODING.


AT THESE LEVELS...FLOOD WATER COVERS ROUTE 50, SOUTH OF LOBELVILLE. THIS CREST
COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 16.9 FEET WHICH OCCURRED MAR 18 2002.


HARPETH RIVER NEAR KINGSTON SPRINGS...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         15.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        17.2 FEET AND FALLING AT 7 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:      FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FT  AFTER MIDNIGHT
TOMORROW THEN FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 15.0 FT  EARLY  THURSDAY
MORNING 12.0 FT   THURSDAY  MORNING THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE TO NEAR 3.5 FT
FRIDAY  EVENING THEN FORECAST TO FLUCTUATE NEAR 3.5 FT THRU   SUNDAY  EVENING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE FLOODING.
*   RIVER CRESTED:       20.0 AT  THIS AFTERNOON.


AT THESE LEVELS...FLOOD WATERS WILL OVERFLOW THE LEFT BANK OF THE RIVER AND
APPROACH PINNACLE HILL ROAD, AND E. KINGSTON SPRINGS ROAD. SEVERAL SECONDARY
ROADS NEAR THE RIVER BECOME IMPASSIBLE. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST
OF 21.3 FEET WHICH OCCURRED FEB 7 2004.


HARPETH RIVER AT FRANKLIN...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         21.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        21.9 FEET AND RISING AT 5 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:      FORECAST TO FLUCTUATE NEAR 22.5 FT THRU  AFTER MIDNIGHT
TOMORROW THEN FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 21.0 FT  AFTER MIDNIGHT
TOMORROW 18.0 FT  TOMORROW MORNING THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE TO NEAR 4.0 FT
SUNDAY  EVENING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.


AT THESE LEVELS...FLOOD WATERS REACH LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE BANKS, INCLUDING
THE THE CITY PARK.. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.6 FEET WHICH
OCCURRED DEC 17 2000.


SHOAL CREEK NEAR IRON CITY...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         14.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        15.5 FEET AND FALLING AT 7 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:       10.0 FT  TOMORROW LATE MORNING THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE
TO NEAR 6.0 FT   SUNDAY  MORNING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE NONFLOOD FLOODING.
*   RIVER CRESTED:       16.3 AT  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
 THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.0 FEET WHICH OCCURRED DEC 1 2004.


ELK RIVER NEAR PROSPECT...
*   FLOOD STAGE:         26.0 FEET.
*   LATEST STAGE:        23.7 FEET AND RISING AT 7 PM TUESDAY.
*   RIVER FORECAST:      EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 26.0 FT  TOMORROW
EVENING THEN FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 26.0 FT  TOMORROW EVENING
22.0 FT   THURSDAY  BEFORE MIDNIGHT THEN FORECAST TO RECEDE TO NEAR 10.0 FT
SUNDAY  MORNING.
*   FLOOD CATEGORY:      THESE LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.


AT THESE LEVELS...FLOOD WATERS REACH THE NEW BOAT DOCK AND RIVER BOTTOMLAND NEAR
PROSPECT..

PERSONS LIVING ALONG THE RIVER AND THOSE WITH RIVER INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR WATER LEVELS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.
$$




              FLOOD      OBSERVED             FORECAST 6AM              CREST
LOCATION       STG    STG  DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI   SAT   SUN    STG   DATE

DUCK RIVER
COLUMBIA       32.0  30.5  TUE 06 PM   32.6  33.0  29.2  18.7  12.4  33.5  12/08
CENTERVILLE    22.0  23.7  TUE 05 PM   27.8  27.7  25.9  22.4  16.4  28.5  12/08

BUFFALO RIVER
LOBELVILLE     10.0  13.3  TUE 07 PM   15.4  17.9  13.3  10.4   8.9  18.0  12/09

HARPETH RIVER
KINGSTON SPRIN 15.0  17.2  TUE 07 PM   18.4  12.4   4.4   3.6   3.6
FRANKLIN       21.0  21.9  TUE 05 PM   19.1   4.0   3.9   3.9   3.9  22.3  12/08

SHOAL CREEK
IRON CITY      14.0  15.5  TUE 07 PM   11.2   8.0   6.8   6.3   5.8

ELK RIVER
PROSPECT       26.0  23.7  TUE 07 PM   25.0  25.4  19.7  13.1  10.2  26.0  12/08

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