[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 112344
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lee, located a few hundred miles north of the northern Leeward
Islands, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Margot, located over the
central subtropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity primarily to the west
of its center. Development of this system is unlikely before it
merges with a another area of low pressure (AL98) to its east during
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
A broad area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave
located over the eastern tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde
Islands. This system is currently producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms but environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system, especially after is merges with
an area of low pressure to its west (AL97). A tropical depression is
likely to form from the combined system by this weekend as it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
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