[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 291749
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating a broad area of low pressure located a couple of
hundred miles east of the central Bahamas.  Early indications
from the plane and satellite data are that the system does not have
a well-defined surface circulation.  Environmental conditions are
becoming less conducive for development, though a short-lived
tropical depression or storm could still form during the next day or
so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward.  By
Tuesday, however, strong upper-level winds and dry air should end
the chances of further development while it turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Gradual development
thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
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