[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tropical Storm Bolaven (15W) Local Statement
National Weather Service TIYAN GU
856 AM ChST Mon Oct 9 2023

...TROPICAL STORM BOLAVEN STILL APPROACHING THE MARIANAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for Guam.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
This local statement provides recommended actions for people in Guam
and the Northern Marianas.

.Watches/Warnings...
A Tropical storm warning and a Typhoon Watch are in effect for Guam.

A Typhoon watch continues for Rota, Tinian, and Saipan.

A Flood Watch is in effect for all of Guam and the Northern
Marianas. Please listen closely for any Flood Warnings that might
be in effect for your area.

.STORM INFORMATION...
At 7 AM ChST...the center of Tropical Storm Bolaven (15W) was
located near Latitude 10.9N...Longitude 151.1E. This was about
460 miles east-southeast of Guam. Storm Motion was northwest at 8 mph.
Storm Intensity was 60 mph.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
Bolaven continues to approach the Marianas, and the track gradually
has shifted farther north. This places the emphasis between Rota and
Tinian at this time, however little wiggles are still possible and can
really matter. Continue to keep up with the developing situation.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For those under a warning...now is the time to rush to completion
preparations for the protection of life and property. Evacuate if
directed to do so by local officials...or if your home is vulnerable
to high winds or flooding.

For interests at ports...docks...and marinas...urgently complete
prescribed preparations according to your emergency operations
plan for tropical cyclones. If you live on a boat...make final
preparations for securing your craft before leaving it.

Regarding any coastal waters under a warning...small craft should
remain in port and well secured.

For those under a watch...continue with your preparations and
listen for possible warnings.

Regarding any coastal waters under a watch...small craft should
return to port or seek safe harbor. Determine the best strategy
for securing your craft.

Closely monitor NOAA weather radio or other local news outlets
for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to
the forecast.

For additional precautionary and preparedness information...
Please refer to the detailed recommendations relative to your
location as further described by your local National Weather
Service office and local emergency management.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tiyan around 3 PM ChST...or sooner if conditions warrant.

MPZ001>003-090700-
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.A.4015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Rota-Tinian-Saipan-
856 AM ChST Mon Oct 9 2023

...Typhoon Watch remains in effect...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay calm and keep informed. Comply with any evacuation orders
that are issued for your area. If your home is vulnerable to high
winds, or you live in a surge zone or any location prone to
flooding, evacuate to a designated shelter or ride out the storm
in the sturdy home of family or friends outside of evacuation
zones.

Items to bring to a shelter include a first aid kit, medicines
and prescriptions, baby food and diapers, games and books,
toiletries, a battery powered radio, a cell phone, flashlights
with extra batteries, a blanket or sleeping bag for each person,
personal identification, copies of key papers such as insurance
policies, available cash and credit cards. Remember, pets are not
allowed in most public shelters, so check ahead with your
intended shelter.

Regarding your home or business, cover all windows and doors with
shutters or plywood. Move patio furniture and other loose objects
indoors. Brace all exterior doors, including garage doors. Do
this as early as possible.

If you need to make a trip to the hardware store, the grocery
store, or the gas station, do so as early as possible.

&&

...Probability of tropical storm/typhoon conditions...
Typhoon conditions are now likely within the next 48 hours. This is a
general increase in the chance of damaging winds. The onset of
tropical storm conditions could start as early as late morning
Tuesday. The onset of typhoon conditions could start as early as
Tuesday evening.

...Winds...
As Tropical Storm Bolaven (15W) moves closer, the threat for
sustained high winds is likely to increase. The latest forecast
is for Typhoon force winds from late Tuesday night to early
Wednesday morning. Tropical storm force winds are currently
forecast to begin affecting the area early Tuesday afternoon.
There could be widespread damage near where the center of Bolaven
passes through the Marianas.

...Inundation and sea heights...
Inundation of 2 to 4 feet is likely as Bolaven passes through,
particularly if you are near the center. Seas of 18 to 22 feet are
possible. Hazardous surf conditions are possible beginning this
evening and continuing through at least Thursday. The highest surf
conditions are expected to begin along east and possibly south facing
reefs on Tuesday as Bolaven nears. Surf will increase and likely
become dangerous for north and west facing reefs on Wednesday as
Bolaven passes to the northwest of the Marianas.

...Inland flooding...
A Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area. See latest
forecast for latest information. Listen for possible flood
warnings for your location...and be ready to act if flooding
rains occur.  Soils are already wet from previous rainfall, so it
won't take much to cause flooding.

$$

GUZ001-090700-
/O.NEW.PGUM.TR.W.4015.231008T2256Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.A.4015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Guam-
856 AM ChST Mon Oct 9 2023

...Tropical Storm Warning in effect...
...Typhoon Watch remains in effect...

...New Information...
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for Guam.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Keep informed and listen for possible changes to the forecast.
Comply with any evacuation orders issued for your area. If you
live in a corrugated roof home, make plans to evacuate.

Gather clothes, important papers, medicines, and small valuables
and keep them ready to go on short notice. Gas up your vehicles
and have extra cash on hand.

Regarding your home or business, cover all windows and doors with
shutters or plywood. Move patio furniture and other loose objects
indoors. Brace all exterior doors, including garage doors.

&&

...Probability of tropical storm/typhoon conditions...
Tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 24 hours.
This represents an upward trend since the last forecast. Typhoon
conditions are still possible, however the probability has diminished
since the last forecast.

...Winds...
As Tropical Storm Bolaven (15W) passes nearby, the threat for
sustained high winds should not increase further. North to northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph will build to 25 to 35 mph Tuesday afternoon. Winds
will peak at 40 to 50 mph with gusts to 60 mph Tuesday night, then
gradually diminish Wednesday as they turn southwest.

...Storm surge and storm tide...
Inundation of up to 1 foot is possible as Bolaven passes to the north.
Seas of 16 to 20 feet are possible. Hazardous surf conditions are
possible beginning this evening and continuing through at least
Thursday. The highest surf conditions are expected to begin along east
and possibly south facing reefs on Tuesday as Bolaven nears. Surf will
increase and likely become dangerous for north and west facing reefs
on Wednesday as Bolaven passes to the northwest of the Marianas.

...Inland flooding...
A Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area. See latest
forecast for latest information. Listen for possible flood
warnings for your location...and be ready to act if flooding
rains occur.   Soils are already wet from previous rainfall, so it
won't take much to cause flooding.

$$

Stanko
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