[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT43 KNHC 241447
TCDAT3

Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032023
1100 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2023

The Air Force Hurricane Hunters have been investigating Bret again
this morning and found that the circulation is barely closed with
very light winds on the system's south side.  However, winds
up to 40 kt are still occurring north of the center and are
strongest in the deep convection just north of the ABC Islands.
Therefore, Bret is being maintained as a 40-kt tropical storm for
now.  However, continued northwesterly vertical wind shear of about
30 kt should cause the storm to weaken and the circulation to open
up soon, possibly even later today.

Bret continues to move swiftly to the west at about 18 kt.  This
motion should continue until the storm dissipates.  The main impact
from the system is expected to be gusty winds and areas of heavy
rain across portions of the ABC Islands and the northeastern
portion of Colombia during the next several hours.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/1500Z 13.1N  71.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  25/0000Z 13.1N  74.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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