[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTHW80 PHFO 182139
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HIZ023-026>028-051>054-190545-

Tropical Storm Calvin Local Statement Advisory Number 29
National Weather Service Honolulu HI  EP032023
1139 AM HST Tue Jul 18 2023

This product covers the Hawaiian islands

 **CALVIN MOVING TOWARDS THE BIG ISLAND WITH IMPACTS EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Big Island East, Big
      Island Interior, Big Island North, Big Island South, Big Island
      Southeast, Big Island Summits, Kohala, and Kona

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 460 miles east-southeast of Honolulu or about 250 miles
      east-southeast of Hilo
    - 17.8N 151.9W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement West or 280 degrees at 22 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Tropical Storm Calvin is forecast to pass over, or
just south of, the Big Island of Hawaii tonight and early
Wednesday, then pass well south of the other Hawaiian Islands
through Wednesday night. Impacts are expected to be greatest on the
Big Island, but strong winds, locally heavy rainfall and high surf
along east facing shores can be expected statewide.

Heavy rainfall will likely begin this evening on the Big Island,
with chances for heavy rain increasing elsewhere across through
Wednesday as Calvin moves steadily toward the west. Expect storm
total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, locally up to 10 inches upslope
across windward portions of the Big Island. Storm total
precipitation on Maui will be 3 to 6 inches and 2 to 4 inches across
the rest of the state, highest amounts over windward and mountain
areas.

Coastal impacts associated with Calvin will include rapidly building
surf tonight through Wednesday. Surf may reach as high as 15
feet along east facing shores of the Big Island, and up to 10 feet
along east facing shores of the other islands. Although peak surf
heights on the Big Island will likely occur around low tide
Wednesday morning, some minor overwash and erosion is possible for
exposed low-lying coastal areas.

Locally strong winds are likely to begin this evening over the Big
Island, with north winds shifting to the northeast and east as
Calvin moves westward through Wednesday morning. Winds will also
become breezy and primarily northeast across the smaller islands
outside of the cyclone due to strong gradient winds Wednesday and
Wednesday night. It is important to note that the mountainous terrain
of the islands can produce localized areas of enhanced winds,
even well away from the tropical cyclone center.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
the Hawaiian islands. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across portions of windward and southeast Big Island.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across the Hawaiian islands, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across Maui and windward and southeastern portions
of the Big Island. Potential
impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across other Hawaiian Islands from Kauai to Molokai.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Hawaiian islands. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to complete necessary actions to protect your family
and secure your home or business, prior to the onset of tropical storm
conditions tonight.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact
forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts,
storm surge, and tornadoes can extend well away from the center of the
storm. Keep cell phones well charged as localized power outages are
possible.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Honolulu HI around 6 PM HST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

Foster
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