[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 301150
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Franklin, located a couple of hundred miles west-northwest of
Bermuda, on Hurricane Idalia, near the coast of the Florida Big
Bend, and on Tropical Depression Eleven, located several hundred
miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located
near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week while the system
initially moves west-northwestward and then turns northwestward
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gert):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
(the remnants of Gert) are located several hundred miles to the
north of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions do
not appear to be that favorable for additional development over the
next couple of days as the system drifts slowly northward or north-
northeastward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable
for development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$

Forecaster Kelly/Reinhart
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