[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023
1130 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023

This product covers East Central Florida

**Deteoriating Conditions Through Wednesday Across East Central
Florida**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Volusia,
      Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland
      Volusia, Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard,
      Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, Northern Lake, Orange,
      Osceola, Seminole, Southern Brevard Barrier Islands, and
      Southern Lake

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 180 miles west-southwest of Leesburg FL
    - 27.7N 84.5W
    - Storm Intensity 110 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 18 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Hurricane Idalia is located around 125 miles west of
Tampa this evening. Idalia currently has maximum sustained winds of
110 mph and is moving north at 18 mph. Idalia will continue to move
north through tonight, with an eventual turn to the north- northeast
into Wednesday. Idalia is forecast to cross the Florida Gulf coast on
Wednesday as a major hurricane.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Lake, Osceola, Orange,
Seminole, Volusia, and Brevard counties. For the Atlantic waters, a
Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect north of Sebastian Inlet. A
Tornado Watch is in effect for Lake County through 6 AM.

Showers and squalls associated with outer rain bands from Idalia will
continue to move onshore the west coast and mainly affect the interior
portions of east central Florida through the overnight hours.
Conditions will deteriorate further into early Wednesday morning as
Idalia accelerates towards the Florida Big Bend area late tonight and
into Wednesday morning. The possibility of strong wind gusts in
squalls will increase as tropical storm force winds extend well east
of the storm's center. Based on the current forecast track, Idalia
will make its closest pass to east-central Florida through Wednesday
morning. Even as Idalia moves north of the area Wednesday afternoon,
conditions will remain quite windy. A Wind Advisory may be needed for
portions of the area Wednesday afternoon.

While the heaviest rainfall from Idalia is forecast to fall along the
Gulf Coast and western Florida Peninsula, gusty squalls will be
capable of torrential downpours, through tonight and continuing into
Wednesday. Around one to one and one-half inches of rain is forecast
for coastal areas and Okeechobee County from tonight through Wednesday
night, and one to three inches is forecast west of I-95 from Brevard
and Osceola Counties northward, with locally higher amounts possible.
Locations in closer proximity to the center of Idalia, generally along
and west of Interstate Four in east-central Florida, may receive
higher rainfall totals.

In addition to strong wind gusts, a threat for tornadoes is forecast
tonight and continuing into the day on Wednesday. The risk for
tornados will increase during the overnight hours as wind shear
increases in association with Hurricane Idalia. Ensure you have
multiple ways to receive warnings such as a charged cell phone or
weather radio.

Incoming Atlantic swell from Major Hurricane Franklin, combined with
winds from Idalia, will lead to high seas, rough surf, an increase in
life-threatening rip currents, and beach erosion during high tides
through Wednesday.

Do not let your guard down. Impacts from Idalia will be felt far from
the center of the storm.

Continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
east central Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across east central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

* SURGE:
Direct surge impacts from Idalia are not currently anticipated at
this time. However, larger swells and surf combined with Hurricane
Franklin will bring a threat for minor coastal flooding and beach
erosion. Locations more vulnerable to coastal flooding and beach
erosion, such as portions of the Volusia and Brevard county coast,
should stay updated on the latest information.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended actions.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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