[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 28 22:31:33 CDT 2023
WTUS82 KJAX 290331
HLSJAX
FLZ020-021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-122-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-222-225-232-236-237-240-325-340-425-GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-291145-
Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL AL102023
1131 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023
This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia
**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS EAST OF THE INTERSTATE
75 CORRIDOR. IDALIA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING **
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Baker, Bradford, Central Marion, Clinch, Eastern
Alachua, Northeastern Charlton, Southern Ware, Union, and
Western Charlton
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler,
Coastal Glynn, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St. Johns, Eastern Clay,
Eastern Marion, Eastern Putnam, Inland Camden, Inland Flagler,
Inland Glynn, Inland Nassau, Inland St. Johns, South Central
Duval, Trout River, Western Clay, Western Duval, and Western
Putnam
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
for Echols, Hamilton, Northern Columbia, and Southern Columbia
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Appling, Bacon,
Coffee, Jeff Davis, Pierce, and Wayne
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Camden and Coastal Glynn
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baker, Bradford,
Central Marion, Clinch, Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal
Nassau, Coastal St. Johns, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Clay,
Eastern Marion, Eastern Putnam, Inland Camden, Inland Flagler,
Inland Glynn, Inland Nassau, Inland St. Johns, Northeastern
Charlton, South Central Duval, Southern Ware, Trout River,
Union, Western Charlton, Western Clay, Western Duval, and
Western Putnam
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Echols, Gilchrist,
Hamilton, Northern Columbia, Southern Columbia, Suwannee,
Western Alachua, and Western Marion
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Appling, Atkinson,
Bacon, Brantley, Coffee, Jeff Davis, Northern Ware, Pierce, and
Wayne
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 620 miles south-southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 520
miles south-southwest of Ocala FL
- 22.0N 85.0W
- Storm Intensity 70 mph
- Movement North or 10 degrees at 8 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Idalia is forecast to track northward into the
southeast Gulf of Mexico later tonight. Idalia is forecast to
strengthen to Hurricane intensity overnight, and rapid strengthening
is expected as the Idalia accelerates north-northeastward towards
the Florida Big Bend or Nature Coasts on Tuesday afternoon and
night. Idalia is expected to make landfall at Category 3 hurricane
strength early on Wednesday morning, and the hurricane should then
turn northeastward as it accelerates across our area on Wednesday.
Idalia may maintain hurricane intensity as it reaches the Atlantic
waters adjacent to Camden and Glynn Counties in coastal southeast
Georgia on Wednesday afternoon or evening.
Local impacts from Idalia will begin on Tuesday afternoon and
evening, as spiral rain bands begin to overspread our region from
southwest to northeast. Heavy rainfall will then continue through
the day Wednesday. Tornadoes will be possible across the area on
Tuesday night and Wednesday, with higher chances expected along the
Interstate 95 corridor. Sustained tropical storm force winds will
begin to be felt across north central Florida and the Suwannee
Valley during the predawn hours on Wednesday, with conditions
deteriorating quickly after sunrise, when hurricane force wind gusts
will be possible. Sustained hurricane force winds are expected near
the core of Idalia in the Suwannee Valley through the early the mid
afternoon hours, with hurricane force gusts possible elsewhere along
the Interstate 75 corridor. Sustained tropical storm force winds can
be expected elsewhere in our area on Wednesday. The core of the
hurricane force winds are forecast to move offshore of coastal
southeast Georgia by early Wednesday evening. Storm surge potential
will increase on Wednesday, especially along the southeast Georgia
coast, where life threatening inundation of greater than 3 feet
above ground level is possible.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across the Suwannee Valley of north Florida, portions of
north central Florida, and portions of southeast Georgia. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Widespread power and communications outages.
Also, protect against life-threatening wind having possible
significant to extensive impacts across northeast Florida.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal southeast Georgia. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts along the St. Johns River and coastal northeast Florida.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts along the Interstate 95 corridor in northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia, as well as north central Florida and the Suwannee Valley of
north Florida. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across inland southeast Georgia.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Suwannee Valley of north Florida and
southeast Georgia. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across north central Florida and northeast
Florida.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle
ahead of time.
Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.
If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.
If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.
It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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