[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 22 15:39:48 CDT 2023


WTNT44 KNHC 222039
TCDAT4

Tropical Depression Harold Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092023
400 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2023

Harold has been moving quickly inland over south Texas and
weakening.  Surface observations indicate that the maximum winds
are now around 30 kt, making the system a tropical depression.
Despite the decrease in winds, the minimum pressure remains fairly
low, 999 mb, and heavy rains continue to affect a large portion of
southern Texas.

Harold is moving to the west-northwest at about 20 kt in the flow on
the south side of a strong mid-level ridge.  The depression is
expected to move farther inland across southern Texas and northern
Mexico until it dissipates on Wednesday.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
Harold. Future information on this system can be found in
discussions issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at
1000 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCDAT4, WMO header WTNT24 KWNH, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Heavy rainfall is expected across south Texas through early
Wednesday, and may produce areas of flash and urban flooding. Across
portions of northern Coahuila and northern Nuevo Leon in Mexico,
flash flooding with possible landslides in mountainous terrain is
expected through Wednesday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/2100Z 27.6N  99.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  23/0600Z 28.7N 101.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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