[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT41 KNHC 210244
TCDAT1

Tropical Depression Six Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062023
1100 PM AST Sun Aug 20 2023

Proxy-vis satellite imagery indicates that the center of the
depression remains exposed with convection displaced to the east.
The system is also starting to be impacted by the outer rainbands
of Tropical Storm Franklin. Based on a blend of objective and
subjective satellite estimates, the initial intensity remains at
30 kt for this system.

The depression remains in a strong deep-layer sheared environment,
while also starting to be impacted by outer bands of Franklin.
Models and simulated satellite data show the system becoming a
remnant low overnight and dissipated in 24 hours.

The depression is moving west-northwestward, and this
general motion is expected to continue until dissipation occurs.
The track forecast is very similar to the previous forecast, and
lies near the consensus aids.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0300Z 16.7N  55.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  21/1200Z 16.8N  57.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Brown
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