[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 29 16:27:59 CDT 2022


WTUS82 KILM 292127
HLSILM
NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-300530-

Hurricane Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 29
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL092022
527 PM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina

**Ian will Impact the Eastern Carolinas through Friday Night**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
      Warning and the Tropical Storm Warning has been upgraded to a
      Hurricane Warning for Coastal Brunswick
    - A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Coastal New Hanover and
      Coastal Pender
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Inland New Hanover

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Brunswick, Coastal Georgetown, and Coastal Horry
    - A Tropical Storm Warning, Storm Surge Watch, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Coastal New Hanover and Coastal Pender
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Central Horry, Inland
      Georgetown, Northern Horry, and Williamsburg
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Inland New Hanover
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bladen, Columbus,
      Darlington, Dillon, Florence, Inland Brunswick, Inland Pender,
      Marion, Marlboro, and Robeson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 360 miles south-southwest of Wilmington NC or about 310
      miles south-southwest of Myrtle Beach SC
    - 29.3N 79.9W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 30 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Ian is now exiting the east-central Florida coast,
beginning its movement toward the Carolinas. The greatest impacts will
be late tonight through Friday night, with gusty winds increasing
through Friday, and expected to reach tropical-storm- force. There is
potential for hurricane force winds as well, mainly near the coast of
South Carolina. Confidence is increasing on more widespread impacts
from wind and storm surge inundation, especially along the northeast
South Carolina coast. Heavy rain, coastal flooding, and beach erosion
are also expected. Rain tapers off by early Saturday morning, but
coastal flooding issues may linger a little longer.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across coastal South Carolina. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some structural damage is likely, with buildings receiving roof
      damage as well as window, door, and garage door failures.
      Mobile homes potentially suffering severe damage, with some
      destroyed. Damage may be enhanced by projectiles. Locations may
      be inaccessible or uninhabitable for some time after the storm
      passes.
    - Widespread large limbs will be down and many trees snapped or
      uprooted, along with fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Roads will be blocked in many areas as a result of large
      debris, especially within urban or heavily wooded areas.
      Several bridges, causeways, and elevated roadways will likely
      become unsafe.
    - Widespread areas will suffer from power and communication
      outages.
    - Several poorly secured small craft may break from their
      moorings.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across inland northeast South Carolina and
southeast North Carolina.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across northeast South Carolina. Potential
impacts include:
    - Major flooding from rainfall may prompt evacuations and
      numerous rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Creeks and ditches will flood and may contain strong
      currents.
    - Flood waters may enter many structures, and some may become
      uninhabitable. Some road scours or complete road failures will
      be possible, along with the potential for sinkholes. Many
      streets and parking lots may flood, and may be impacted by
      flowing water. Many road and low-lying bridge closures are
      possible with some weakened or washed away. Driving conditions
      will be dangerous.The delivery of drinking water and sewer
      services may be interrupted. Flood waters may be polluted and
      contain hazardous materials.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across southeast North Carolina.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts
across coastal South Carolina and Brunswick County in coastal
southeastern North Carolina. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      enhanced by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings is
      likely, with several potentially washing away. Damage will be
      compounded by floating debris. Some locations may become
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Inundation is likely to impact vulnerable homes along tidal
      creeks and waterways farther inland.
    - Drinking water and sewer services will likely become impacted
      by the storm surge. Surge waters will contain hazardous
      materials.
    - Large sections of coastal roads will become flooded, or
      wash-out altogether.
    - Severe beach erosion is expected with significant dune loss.
      Sands from displaced dunes will likely deposit onto the barrier
      island roads.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
      possible. Many small craft broken away from moorings,
      especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore
      and stranded inland.
    - Navigation may be difficult, especially near inlets and
      waterways, as some navigational aids may be off station or
      missing. Debris is possible in the waterways and other
      navigable channels.

Also, prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts along the lower Cape Fear River.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal New Hanover and Pender County in southeast
North Carolina.

Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. Potential
impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and
      buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed
      structures are particularly vulnerable.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley or canyon, or near an already swollen
river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your
intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency
purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as
your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others.
Keep cell phones handy and well charged.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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