[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 29 10:17:46 CDT 2022


WTUS82 KRAH 291517
HLSRAH
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-292330-

Tropical Storm Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 28
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL092022
1117 AM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

This product covers central North Carolina

**Ian will impact portions of North Carolina Friday into Saturday**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Alamance, Anson,
      Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe, Forsyth,
      Franklin, Guilford, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Lee, Montgomery,
      Moore, Nash, Orange, Randolph, Richmond, Sampson, Scotland,
      Stanly, Wake, Wayne, and Wilson

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Alamance, Anson,
      Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe, Forsyth,
      Franklin, Guilford, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Lee, Montgomery,
      Moore, Nash, Orange, Randolph, Richmond, Sampson, Scotland,
      Stanly, Wake, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 500 miles south-southwest of Raleigh NC or about 450
      miles south-southwest of Fayetteville NC
    - 28.7N 80.4W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 30 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Ian will emerge off the Florida coast today and make
its way toward the Southeast coast tonight. This will put it on course
to move into the Carolinas on Friday as a strong tropical storm or weak
hurricane.

Impacts from the storm across central NC are expected to begin early
Friday morning. Heavy rainfall will lead to a threat of flash
flooding, especially Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Tropical
storm force winds are expected across portions of the central and
northwest Piedmont, Coastal Plain, and Sandhills, with gusts to 35 mph
elsewhere. In addition, an isolated tornado can't be ruled out across
the Coastal Plain on Friday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across portions of central North Carolina. Potential
impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across portions of central North Carolina.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Coastal Plain. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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