[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 8 07:11:45 CDT 2022


ABNT20 KNHC 081211 CCA
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook... Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 8 2022

Corrected to indicate Danielle was downgraded to a tropical storm.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Danielle, located several hundred miles
north-northwest of the Azores, and on Hurricane Earl, located a few
hundred miles south of Bermuda.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located almost a thousand miles
west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a concentrated
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms primarily east of its
center. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive
for additional development of this system, but only a small increase
in organization could result in the formation of a short-lived
tropical depression or storm later today while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central tropical
Atlantic.  After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave has recently emerged off the west coast of Africa
this morning and is producing an area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
gradual development as the system moves generally west-northwestward
over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
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