[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 021142
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Danielle, located about 900 miles west of the Azores.

East of the Leeward Islands:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has slightly increased since
yesterday in association with an area of low pressure located
several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However,
overnight satellite-derived wind data indicate the circulation
remains broad. Although environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive, any additional development of the system over the next
few days would lead to the formation of a tropical depression. The
disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, toward
the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains may occur over portions of the
Leeward Islands during the next couple of days, and interests in
that area should monitor the progress of the system. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system this afternoon, if necessary. Additional information on this
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located
northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has slightly increased since
yesterday. However, this system is moving into an area of less
favorable environmental conditions, and significant development is
not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Danielle are issued under WMO
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Danielle are issued under WMO
header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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