[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 012337
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Danielle, located about 950 miles west of the Azores.

East of the Leeward Islands:
Data from both NOAA and Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft
indicate that the circulation of the area of low pressure located
several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remains broad.
The system continues to produce bursts of showers and thunderstorms
that have changed little in organization over the past 24 hours.
Although environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive,
any additional development of the system over the next few days
would lead to the formation of a tropical depression.  The
disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, toward
the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
located just northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remains limited.
This system is moving into an area of less favorable environmental
conditions, and significant development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Danielle are issued
under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Danielle are issued
under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Brown
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