[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KTBW 080940
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Subtropical Storm Nicole Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL172022
440 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**TROPICAL STORM WATCHES NOW IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
 FLORIDA**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Charlotte,
      Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal
      Lee, Coastal Levy, Coastal Manatee, Coastal Pasco, Coastal
      Sarasota, Inland Charlotte, Inland Citrus, Inland Hernando,
      Inland Hillsborough, Inland Lee, Inland Levy, Inland Manatee,
      Inland Pasco, Inland Sarasota, and Pinellas

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Charlotte,
      Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal
      Lee, Coastal Levy, Coastal Manatee, Coastal Pasco, Coastal
      Sarasota, DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Inland Charlotte, Inland
      Citrus, Inland Hernando, Inland Hillsborough, Inland Lee,
      Inland Levy, Inland Manatee, Inland Pasco, Inland Sarasota,
      Pinellas, Polk, and Sumter

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 700 miles east of Cedar Key FL or about 680 miles east of
      Mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 27.6N 71.6W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Subtropical Storm Nicole continues gradually organizing east of the
Bahamas. Over the next couple days, Nicole is expected to move across
the Florida Peninsula, and Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for
West Central and Southwest Florida and adjacent coastal waters.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across West Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
Interior West Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and boats pulled
      from moorings.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 1030 AM EST, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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