[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 050836
TCDAT5

Tropical Depression Lisa Discussion Number  23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152022
400 AM CDT Sat Nov 05 2022

Lisa continues to produce a couple of clusters of convection to the
north and east of the exposed low-level center.  This is enough to
keep the system classifiable using the Dvorak Technique, and thus
the cyclone is maintained as a 25-kt depression on this advisory.
It is expected that later today strong vertical wind shear and dry
air entrainment will stop the convection, and thus Lisa is expected
to degenerate to a remnant low in 12 h or less.  The remnants are
forecast to dissipate completely after 36 h.

The initial motion is 335/3.  A slow northward drift is expected
today, followed by a slow southward drift until the system
dissipates.  The new track forecast has only minor adjustments from
the previous forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/0900Z 19.8N  95.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  05/1800Z 20.2N  95.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  06/0600Z 20.4N  95.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/1800Z 20.0N  95.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven
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