[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 040538
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Nov 4 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Lisa, located inland over southeastern Mexico.

East-Southeast of Bermuda:
A weak non-tropical area of low pressure located several hundred
miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a few disorganized
showers and thunderstorms well to the east of its center. Any
tropical or subtropical development of this disturbance should be
slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves little
through today and then turns westward over the weekend. The system
is forecast to merge with a larger low pressure area developing to
its southwest by the end of the weekend, and further development is
not anticipated once this occurs.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic:
A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop this
weekend across the northeastern Caribbean Sea and southwestern
Atlantic. The system is expected to initially be very broad and
disorganized, but environmental conditions could support gradual
subtropical or tropical development beginning early next week while
it moves generally northwestward or westward over the southwestern
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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