[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 291146
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 29 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Two, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea to the
north of Venezuela.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This
system is forecast to move slowly westward and approach the coast of
Texas today. The disturbance has not become any better organized
since yesterday, however some slow development is still possible and
it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast
before it moves inland tonight or early Thursday. Regardless of
development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas
coast for the next few days. For more information about the
potential for heavy rain, please see products issued by your
National Weather Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  Slow
development of the wave is possible while it moves
west-northwestward for the next few days. The wave is forecast to
move over the Windward Islands late Friday or early Saturday and
then over the eastern Caribbean Sea by the weekend, where further
development is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
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