[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KKEY 032128
HLSKEY
FLZ076>078-040530-

Potential Tropical Cyclone One Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL012022
528 PM EDT Fri Jun 3 2022

This product covers the Florida Keys

**Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for all Florida Keys**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys,
      Monroe Middle Keys, and Monroe Upper Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 280 miles west-southwest of Key West FL or about 320
      miles west-southwest of Marathon FL or about 370 miles
      west-southwest of Key Largo FL
    - 23.0N 85.8W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 40 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for all Florida Keys and
surrounding waters.

At 500 PM EDT, potential tropical cyclone one remains near the
northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula and continues to move slowly
toward the northeast. The system is expected to move through our
western Gulf waters this evening, then out across southern and central
Florida on Saturday. The system may become a tropical storm later
this evening. Some slight strengthening is possible while it
approaches Florida. Regardless of further development, weather
conditions will continue to deteriorate with thundery squalls becoming
more frequent.

There is a potential risk for multiple hazards for the Florida Keys,
including flooding rainfall, tropical storm force winds, especially in
squalls, isolated tornadoes, and treacherous marine conditions. Small
craft should remain in port.

Additional heavy rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum
totals of 12 inches, may cause significant rainwater flooding. A Flood
Watch remains in effect through Saturday evening.

A few tornadoes will be possible this evening through Saturday.

There is potential for minor coastal flooding of 1 to 2 feet above mean
sea level along the Gulfside/Bayside Saturday, especially over the
bayside communities in the Upper Keys. Significant oceanside wave
overwash is expected this evening through Saturday, most evident
around the times of higher high tide.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities. Driving conditions become dangerous. Road closures
      may be possible.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many tree limbs broken off. A few small trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages possible.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roof damage, mobile homes pushed off
      foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped
      off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
      off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* COASTAL FLOODING:
Sustained strong to tropical storm force southerly to southwesterly
winds will result in minor coastal flooding of 1 to 2 feet along the
Bayside and Gulfside this evening through Saturday afternoon.
Significant oceanside wave overwash is expected this evening through
Saturday, most evident around the times of higher high tide.
- Localized flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-
      lying spots.
    - Driving conditions dangerous over flooded roads.
    - Moderate beach erosion.
    - Minor damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few
      small craft broken away from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
No mandatory evacuations are in effect expected for this storm.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Ensure you are in a safe location from strong winds or possible
flooding.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
in a low-lying or poor drainage area, plan to move to safe shelter on
higher ground.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
monroecountyem.com/782/Emergency-Management
- For Monroe County EM Hurricane Preparedness Information, see
monroecountyem.com/1214/Hurricane-Preparedness
- For Monroe County EM Evacuation Information, see
monroecountyem.com/897/Evacuation-information
- For Monroe County shelter information, see
monroecountyem.com/992/Shelters

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around 1130 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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