[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 030940
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FLZ053-058-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-031630-

Potential Tropical Cyclone One Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL012022
540 AM EDT Fri Jun 3 2022

This product covers East Central Florida

**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Coastal Indian River, Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint
      Lucie, Inland Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern
      Brevard, Inland Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Mainland
      Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
      Barrier Islands, Okeechobee, Osceola, and Southern Brevard
      Barrier Islands

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
      Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Inland Indian River,
      Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Saint Lucie,
      Inland Southern Brevard, Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland
      Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, Okeechobee,
      Osceola, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 520 miles southwest of Stuart FL
    - 22.3N 86.6W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 40 degrees at 6 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Potential Tropical Cyclone One, centered offshore the northeast tip
of the Yucatan Peninsula, has turned toward the northeast, while still
moving slowly, early this morning. The developing system is forecast
become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm later today, while
moving northeast across the southeast Gulf of Mexico at a faster
forward speed. The system is then forecast to move across the southern
half of the Florida peninsula Saturday and Saturday evening.

As the system draws closer to the southern Florida peninsula late
tonight into Saturday, the frequency of showers and squalls will
increase. Sustained winds may approach tropical storm force out ahead
of the system, and will frequently gust above tropical storm force in
stronger outer rainbands, and squalls near where the center tracks
across the state. Based on the latest forecast track, the strongest
winds and gusts are expected from early Saturday morning through around
sunset.

The main hazard for east central Florida remains the potential for
flooding rainfall with this system as it moves toward, and then over
the peninsula. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are forecast across
Okeechobee, Martin, Saint Lucie, and Indian River Counties, with local
amounts as high as 12 inches. For Osceola and Brevard Counties, 3 to 5
inches with local amounts up to 8 inches may occur.

A Flood Watch is now in effect for Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie,
Martin, Osceola and Okeechobee Counties.

With the system forecast to track eastward across Florida as a weak
Tropical Storm storm surge is not expected along the east central
coast. However, a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out, mainly south of
Interstate 4.

Residents and visitors should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and
information regarding Potential Tropical Cyclone One today through
Saturday.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across areas where a Flood Watch is now in effect. Potential
impacts include:
    - Heavy rainfall flooding may prompt evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.


* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.


* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
areas now under a Tropical Storm Warning. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.


Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds, squalls, or possible
flooding.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind
gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of
the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org


NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 12 Noon EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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