[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jun 2 17:22:34 CDT 2022


WTUS82 KKEY 022222
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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Local Statement Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL012022
622 PM EDT Thu Jun 2 2022

This product covers the Florida Keys

**Tropical Storm Watch in effect for all Florida Keys**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Monroe Lower Keys,
      Monroe Middle Keys, and Monroe Upper Keys

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys,
      Monroe Middle Keys, and Monroe Upper Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 420 miles west-southwest of Key West FL or about 470
      miles west-southwest of Marathon FL or about 520 miles
      west-southwest of Key Largo FL
    - 21.4N 87.5W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 5 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 500 PM EDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone One is currently near the
Yucatan Peninsula and is tracking northeastward towards the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico. This system is forecast to move closer to
the Florida Keys starting tomorrow, with weather conditions beginning
to deteriorate by early Friday morning and thundery squalls
becoming more frequent.

There is a potential risk for multiple hazards for the Florida Keys,
including flooding rainfall, tropical storm force winds, especially in
squalls, isolated tornadoes, and treacherous marine conditions.

Heavy rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 10
inches, may cause significant rainwater flooding. A Flood Watch is in
effect from midnight tonight through Saturday evening.

A few tornadoes will be possible Friday through Saturday.

There is potential for minor coastal flooding of 1 to 2 feet above mean
sea level along the Gulfside/Bayside Saturday, especially over the on
the bayside communities in the Upper Keys. Significant oceanside wave
overwash is expected Friday through Saturday, most evident around the
times of higher high tide.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Potential for minor coastal flooding of 1 to 2 feet above mean sea
level along the Gulfside/Bayside Saturday, especially over the bayside
communities along the far Upper Keys (including Key Largo). Significant
oceanside wave overwash is expected Friday through Saturday, most
evident around the times of higher high tide (especially late morning
through mid afternoon).

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
No mandatory evacuations are expected for this storm.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
in a low-lying or poor drainage area, plan to move to safe shelter on
higher ground.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
monroecountyem.com/782/Emergency-Management
- For Monroe County EM Hurricane Preparedness Information, see
monroecountyem.com/1214/Hurricane-Preparedness
- For Monroe County EM Evacuation Information, see
monroecountyem.com/897/Evacuation-information
- For Monroe County shelter information, see
monroecountyem.com/992/Shelters

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around , or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$

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