[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 302320
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area
of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles has increased since yesterday.  Although environmental
conditions are only marginally conducive, additional gradual
development of this system is expected and a tropical depression
is likely to form within the next few days.  The disturbance is
forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest
at 5 to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward
Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure located off the west coast of Africa
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual
development is possible, and the system could become a short-lived
tropical depression over the far eastern Atlantic during the next
few days. By late this week, environmental conditions are forecast
to become increasingly unfavorable for further development.
Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to form within the next day or
so along a decaying frontal zone over the central subtropical
Atlantic.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for some gradual tropical or subtropical development over the next
several days while the system drifts generally eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Brown
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