[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 30 06:51:41 CDT 2022


ABNT20 KNHC 301151
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred
miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental
conditions are only marginally conducive, some gradual development
of this system is expected over the next several days and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week. The disturbance is
forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5
to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward
Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is
located just off the west coast of Africa. Some gradual development
is possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical
depression over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days.
By late this week, the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler
waters and further development is not expected. Regardless of
development, the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands by Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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