[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 271751
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter has
become better defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm
activity has become a little better organized.  Any further
increase in organization could result in the formation of a
short-lived tropical depression, while it moves northeastward at
about 10 mph.  By Wednesday, environmental conditions are expected
to become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely
to form in a few of days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
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