[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 21 00:14:18 CDT 2021


ABNT20 KNHC 210514
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Peter, located about 100 miles north of the northern Leeward
Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a
few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue
to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of
Odette, is located several hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland.
This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics during the
next few days while it moves slowly southeastward over warmer waters
across the north-central Atlantic Ocean.  However, the system is
expected to turn northward back over cooler waters this weekend,
which should end its chances of becoming a subtropical storm.
Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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