[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KLCH 140330
HLSLCH
LAZ073-074-TXZ201-215-216-141000-

Hurricane Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL142021
1030 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas

**NICHOLAS NOW A HURRICANE - HEAVY RAINS STILL MAIN CONCERN**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Hardin and Orange
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Jefferson
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for West Cameron

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 150 miles southwest of Sabine Pass TX or about 180 miles
      west-southwest of Cameron LA
    - 28.4N 95.8W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 1000 PM CDT, the center of now Hurricane Nicholas was located near
latitude 28.4 North, longitude 95.8 West, or just off the middle Texas
coast.  Nicholas is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph and
this general motion is expected to continue through tonight, followed
by a turn toward the northeast by late Tuesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Nicholas is expected to make landfall somewhere near
Matagorda Bay overnight.

The threat of heavy rain will persist far ahead of where the center
makes landfall. Heavy rain will be a continued possibility from
overnight through at least the middle of the week for southeast Texas
and portions of southwest Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across Jefferson County. Potential impacts
include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the remainder of southeast Texas and southwest
Louisiana.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the coastline from High Island to Rutherford Beach.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to non-elevated structures is possible.
    - Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become weakened
      or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Several small
      craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected
      anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach to Intracoastal
City.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across Jefferson County and the Louisiana coastline from Sabine Pass
to Intracoastal City. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the remainder of southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

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