[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 13 04:21:35 CDT 2021
WTUS84 KCRP 130921
HLSCRP
TXZ231>234-241>247-342>347-442-443-447-131730-
Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX AL142021
421 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021
This product covers South Texas
**NICHOLAS FORECAST TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND GUSTY WINDS LATER TODAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal San Patricio,
Inland Kleberg, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and
Nueces Islands
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Inland Refugio
- A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
Watch are in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands,
Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Refugio, and Inland
Calhoun
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bee, Goliad, Inland
Nueces, Jim Wells, Live Oak, and Victoria
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 160 miles south of Port Aransas TX or about 200 miles
south of Port Oconnor TX
- 25.5N 96.6W
- Storm Intensity 60 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 14 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
With Tropical Storm Nicholas reforming significantly further north
and strengthening slightly overnight, Tropical storm force winds are
likely to arrive this morning with gusts to hurricane force
possible. Nicholas is expected to strengthen a bit more today as it
hugs the Lower and Middle Texas coastline. The system is expected to
move northward before making landfall this afternoon or evening
across the Middle or Upper Texas coast. Periods of heavy rainfall
are expected today through Tuesday morning with rainfall totals of 4
to 6 with locally higher amounts possible along the Coastal Bend and
Victoria Crossroads. With the possibility of periods of heavy
rainfall, flash flooding may occur across the Coastal Bend and
Victoria Crossroads through Tuesday morning. Storm surge inundation
of 2 to 4 feet is possible as Nicholas moves closer. An isolated
tornado or two could be possible today as Nicholas approaches the
area, especially across the immediate coastal locations north of
Port Aransas. Although not expected, Nicholas may strengthen to a
Hurricane as it nears the coast. Therefore, a Hurricane Watch
remains in effect north of Port Aransas.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.
Potential impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
or washed out.
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
limited to extensive impacts across the Coastal Plains and Brush
Country.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the immediate coast where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the bays and intracoastal waterways.
* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across the Coastal Plains, Coastal Bend, and Victoria Crossroads.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the Brush Country.
Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Potential impacts
include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:Now is the time to complete all
preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your
emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of
strong winds or possible flooding.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Corpus Christi TX around 10 AM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
JCP
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list