[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 130321
HLSLCH
LAZ073-074-TXZ215-131130-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL142021
1021 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

This product covers Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas

**WATCHES NOW IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Jefferson
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for West Cameron

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Jefferson
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for West Cameron

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 490 miles south of High Island TX or about 510 miles
      south-southwest of Sabine Pass TX
    - 22.5N 95.5W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 2 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Tropical Storm Nicholas was located over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico late this evening. The latest forecast track shows the
system moving north to northwestward through Monday, before turning
more northward off the lower Texas coast. The system is forecast to
move ashore along the central Texas coastline sometime Tuesday...
however the threat of heavy rain will persist far ahead of where
the center makes landfall, likely impacting southeast Texas and
portions of southwest Louisiana beginning Monday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across coastal southeast Texas and southwest
Louisiana. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across interior southeast Texas and much of southern Louisiana
west of the Atchafalaya River.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach westward.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to non-elevated structures is possible.
    - Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become weakened
      or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Several small
      craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected
      anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach to Intracoastal
City.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Southwest
Louisiana and Southeast Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA by 5 AM Monday, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

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