[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 072339
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 7 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles
southeast of Bermuda.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased somewhat this evening over
the south-central Gulf of Mexico in association with a surface
trough and an upper-level disturbance.  The system is expected to
move slowly northeastward over the central and northeastern Gulf of
Mexico during the next couple of days.  Upper-level winds are
currently only marginally conducive for development, but they are
forecast to become slightly more favorable by late Wednesday, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form as the system nears
the northern Gulf coast Wednesday night or Thursday.  The
disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United
States, and some slight additional development will be possible
after it emerges off the southeastern United States coast late this
week.  Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall will be
possible across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern
Georgia on Wednesday and Thursday, with localized flooding possible.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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