[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 051746
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles
east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan Peninsula
and surrounding waters are associated with a surface trough and an
upper-level disturbance.  Locally heavy rains are likely to continue
today over that area.  The system is forecast to move slowly
northward or northeastward over the central and then northeastern
Gulf of Mexico over the next few days, when upper-level winds are
only expected to be marginally conducive for tropical cyclone
formation.  The disturbance is then expected to cross the
southeastern United States beginning midweek, and some development
is possible once it emerges over the Atlantic waters by late this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto
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