[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 111150
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 350 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is producing an area of showers and a few
thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the next day
or two while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph
toward the Lesser Antilles. Strong upper-level winds are expected to
limit further development on Tuesday.  Regardless of development,
the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds
across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on
Tuesday, and across the Virgin Islands and Leeward Islands on
Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with another tropical
wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea has decreased since
yesterday. Environmental conditions are not expected to support
development of this system for the next day or two. However, some
gradual development is possible beginning on Wednesday when the
system nears the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser
Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
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