[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 041443
TCDAT5

Remnants Of Victor Discussion Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021

Victor is no longer a tropical cyclone. A timely 1048 UTC ASCAT-A
pass confirms that Victor does not have a closed surface
circulation. Since the system has degenerated into a trough of low
pressure over the central Atlantic, this will be the final NHC
advisory on Victor. An area of 20 to 22-kt scatterometer winds is
noted well to the northeast of the trough axis, but these winds
should diminish through tonight as the trough dampens and the
remnants move west-northwestward. Hostile environmental conditions,
including strong southerly shear and very dry mid-level air, will
inhibit any redevelopment of this system.

Additional information on the remnants of Victor can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  04/1500Z 18.8N  45.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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