[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jun 29 18:26:31 CDT 2021


ABNT20 KNHC 292326
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 29 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the
Windward Islands.  This system is producing a large area of showers
and thunderstorms that are starting to show some signs of
organization.  Environmental conditions appear generally favorable
for development, and a tropical depression could form during the
next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20
mph.  Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely
monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region
on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur as the tropical wave moves quickly westward to
west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Lesser
Antilles on Wednesday and then across the eastern and central
Caribbean Sea later this week.  Regardless of development, this
system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser
Antilles during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
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