[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 091550
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-100000-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 38
National Weather Service New York NY  AL052021
1150 AM EDT Fri Jul 9 2021

This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut

**Tropical Storm Elsa over Eastern Long Island, Departing this
Afternoon**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Northeast Suffolk,
      Northern New London, Northwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk,
      Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven,
      Southern New London, and Southwest Suffolk

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 100 miles east of New York City NY or about 10 miles
      west-southwest of Montauk Point NY
    - 41.0N 72.1W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 31 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa will track northeast into southeast New
England by early this afternoon.

The flooding rains from Elsa are expected to pull away from southern
Connecticut through midday. Meanwhile, wind gusts of 50 to 65 mph
are expected to continue through early afternoon across eastern Long
Island and southeastern CT into early to mid afternoon before
diminishing. Very rough seas and dangerous rip currents will continue
through the day.

An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain is likely for southeastern CT,
with less than an inch for eastern Long Island. The flash flooding
threat will come to an end by mid afternoon as the tropical rains
pull northeast of the area.

There is an isolated severe thunderstorm threat this evening,
particularly for NYC and points N and W. damaging wind gusts will be

Tropical Storm force gusts are expected on the ocean waters south of
Long Island, as well as on Long Island Sound, and the south shore and
eastern bays of Long Island, through mid afternoon. Dangerous rip currents and high surf are expected
along the ocean beaches of Long Island through Friday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Southeastern Connecticut. Remain well guarded against
life-threatening flood waters having extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become
      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down
      valleys, and increase susceptibility to rockslides and
      mudslides.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Elsewhere across NYC, western Long Island, northeastern New Jersey,
and Lower Hudson Valley, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
cross southern and eastern portions of Long Island and southeastern
Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and
Southern Connecticut, little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Dangerous rip currents are expected at Atlantic ocean beaches
into Saturday. High surf and beach erosion into tonight.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see http://ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see
http://getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see
http://redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 3 PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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