[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 082111
HLSPHI
DEZ003-004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-091000-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 35
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ  AL052021
511 PM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

This product covers New Jersey...Delaware...southeastern Pennsylvania
and the Eastern Shore of Maryland

**Elsa is Expected to Impact Portions of Southern Delaware and
eastern New Jersey late tonight into Friday morning.**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Atlantic, Atlantic
      Coastal Cape May, Cape May, Caroline, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal
      Ocean, Delaware Beaches, Eastern Monmouth, Inland Sussex,
      Ocean, Queen Annes, Southeastern Burlington, Talbot, and
      Western Monmouth

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 300 miles southwest of Atlantic City NJ or about 250
      miles southwest of Dover DE
    - 36.3N 78.3W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 40 degrees at 21 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa is continuing to track northeast across North
Carolina this evening. Elsa is forecast to move over southern Delaware
and eastern New Jersey late this evening and tonight into Friday
morning. Elsa will then continue to accelerate and move northeast, away
from New Jersey, late Friday morning.

The main threats with this system are heavy rainfall resulting in
flash flooding, the potential for river flooding, and tropical storm
force winds, especially near the coast. Dangerous marine conditions
will develop over the Atlantic Waters and the lower Delaware Bay
including strong winds, rough seas, and dangerous rip currents.
Additionally, a few tornadoes may be be possible which could lead to
locally enhanced damage.

Two to four inches of rainfall are forecast through tonight and into
Friday morning, with locally higher amounts up to six inches possible.
Heavy rainfall will result in a threat of flash flooding. Dangerous
marine conditions are also expected to develop along the Delaware Bay
waters south of Slaughter Beach and along the Atlantic Coastal Waters
for all of Delaware and up towards Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Tropical
Storm force winds will be most likely across the waters with seas
building to six to nine feet. Dangerous rip currents will likely occur
along the ocean beaches of Delaware and New Jersey.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across northern New Jersey. Potential impacts
include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across central and southern New Jersey, Delaware,
southeastern Pennsylvania, and the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
coastal areas of the Eastern Shore of Maryland, coastal Sussex
Delaware, and coastal Cape May County in NJ.. Potential impacts
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
eastern New Jersey and southeastern Delaware. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mount Holly NJ around 1130 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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