[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 7 10:17:15 CDT 2021


WTUS82 KJAX 071516
HLSJAX
FLZ020-021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-122-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-222-225-232-236-237-240-325-340-425-GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-072330-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 30
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052021
1116 AM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**CENTER OF ELSA MAKING LANDFALL IN TAYLOR COUNTY ALONG THE NORTH
FLORIDA GULF COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Central
      Marion and Eastern Marion

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baker, Bradford,
      Brantley, Clinch, Coastal Camden, Coastal Glynn, Eastern
      Alachua, Echols, Gilchrist, Hamilton, Inland Camden, Inland
      Glynn, Inland Nassau, Northeastern Charlton, Northern Columbia,
      Northern Ware, Pierce, Southern Columbia, Southern Ware,
      Suwannee, Union, Wayne, Western Alachua, Western Charlton, and
      Western Marion

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 130 miles west-southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 120
      miles southwest of Waycross GA
    - 29.9N 83.6W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa will continue to track inland across the Suwanee
Valley and across southeast Georgia through this evening. Rainbands
from Elsa will continue to increase across southeast Georgia through
the afternoon. Sustained tropical storm force winds will overspread
portions of the Suwannee River Valley focused over counties along and
west of Interstate 75 across northeast Florida, then the envelope of
tropical storm force winds will progress northeast across portions of
northeast Florida and southeast Georgia through this evening. The
greatest widespread hazard from Elsa will be the potential for flooding
rainfall. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with locally
higher amounts up to 9 inches are possible. The tornado threat will
continue across northeast Florida this morning and expand across
portions of southeast Georgia through the day. Hazardous beach
conditions including frequent rip currents and rough surf will persist
through Wednesday evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
portions of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Remain well
guarded against dangerous flood waters having possible limited to
significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many
      road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
portions of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Remain well
sheltered from dangerous wind having possible limited impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Northeast
Florida and Southeast Georgia. Remain well braced against a tornado
event having additional limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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