[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 28A...UPDATED
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL052021
234 AM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...CORRECTED TO CHANGE ELSA TO A TROPICAL STORM...

This product covers East Central Florida

**TROPICAL STORM ELSA MOVING NORTHWARD OFFSHORE WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA**

**TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR LAKE COUNTY**

**TORNADO WATCH FOR LAKE, VOLUSIA, SEMINOLE, ORANGE, OSCEOLA AND
  OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM**

**FLOOD WATCH FOR LAKE, VOLUSIA, SEMINOLE AND ORANGE COUNTIES**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northern Lake and
      Southern Lake

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 120 miles west-southwest of Leesburg FL
    - 27.9N 83.5W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Impacts from Tropical Storm Elsa will continue across east-central Florida
this morning as outer rain bands spread northeast from western Florida
into east central Florida. Elsa will continue to moving north, parallel
to the Florida Gulf Coast, before making landfall near Cedar Key later
this morning.

Wind gusts to tropical storm are expected in rain bands and squalls,
and may reach 50 to 60 mph in the most intense squalls.

A Tornado Watch continues for Lake, Volusia, Seminole, Orange, Osceola
and Okeechobee Counties until 8 AM. Conditions remain favorable for
tornadoes in Elsa's outer rain bands over the interior counties, and
far inland Volusia County.

A Flood Watch continues for Lake, Seminole, Orange and inland Volusia
Counties. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected in the watch
area, with isolated amounts to 6 inches possible. Outside of the watch
area, additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches are possible, with local
amounts up to 4 inches. The highest totals are likely over and adjacent
to Lake County.

A Tropical Storm Watch continues for Lake County. This is where the
potential exists for sustained winds near tropical storm force, up to
near 40 mph, mainly across the northwest portion of the county near
Leesburg, Lady Lake and The Villages. Wind gusts above tropical storm
force are most likely across this area as well.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are unfolding across East Central
Florida, especially over Lake, Volusia, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, and
Okeechobee Counties, where a Tornado Watch is in effect.

Remain well braced against a dangerous tornado event having
possible significant impacts.

If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are unfolding across across
east-central Florida, particularly Lake, Orange, Seminole, and Volusia
Counties, where a Flood Watch remains in effect. Remain well guarded
against flood waters having possible significant impacts.

If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.


* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event will unfold, mainly across
Lake County. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible
impacts.

If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Stay inside and away from windows, in the event a squall approaches
your location. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose
electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone
and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

If a flood warning is issued for your area, be prepared to take action
to mitigate rising water near your property. Never drive into flooded
areas!


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

Cristaldi
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