[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 22 07:42:46 CDT 2021
WTUS81 KOKX 221242
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CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-222045-
Tropical Storm Henri Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 26A
National Weather Service New York NY AL082021
842 AM EDT Sun Aug 22 2021
This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut
**HENRI NOW A TROPICAL STORM...CENTER MOVING CLOSER TO EASTERN
LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Hurricane Warning has been cancelled and a Tropical Storm
Warning has been issued for Northeast Suffolk, Northern
Middlesex, Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northwest
Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern Middlesex, Southern New
Haven, Southern New London, and Southwest Suffolk
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Southern Nassau and Southwest Suffolk
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Bronx, Northeast Suffolk, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens,
Northwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern Fairfield,
Southern Middlesex, Southern New Haven, Southern New London,
and Southern Westchester
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Eastern Bergen,
Eastern Essex, Eastern Union, Hudson, Kings (Brooklyn), New
York (Manhattan), Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex,
Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northern Westchester,
Richmond (Staten Island), and Southern Queens
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 140 miles east of New York City NY or about 40 miles
southeast of Montauk Point NY
- 40.7N 71.3W
- Storm Intensity 70 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 16 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Henri is now a tropical storm, with maximum sustained winds of 70
mph. The center of Henri is currently 40 miles south-southeast of
Montauk Point, and is moving north-northwest at 16 mph. On this
track the center of Henri will likely pass very close to Montauk
Point late this morning. and then track into southern New England
through Monday while weakening.
The main threats from Henri continue to be potentially life-
threatening storm surge, heavy rain capable of producing flash
flooding, and tropical storm force winds along the south shore of
Long Island and across southern Connecticut. There will also be
associated marine and coastal hazards, including very rough seas,
high surf, and and dangerous rip currents.
Severe beach erosion is possible for coastal areas of Long Island
Sound and portions of Suffolk County, including the Twin Forks
region.
Widespread rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is forecast in the path of
Henri with localized higher amounts possible. The highest amounts
are forecast to occur across Long Island and much of southern
Connecticut.
Dangerous marine conditions are likely on the ocean waters south of
Long Island, as well as on Long Island Sound, and the south shore
and eastern bays of Long Island. Dangerous rip currents and high
surf are expected along the ocean beaches of Long Island.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
eastern Long Island and southeast Connecticut. Remain well sheltered
from dangerous wind having possible significant impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
the shorelines of Long Island Sound, much of the Great South Bay, and
eastern Long Island. Remain well away from life-threatening surge
having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Very
dangerous surf and rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across Jamaica Bay and New York Harbor.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut.
Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood waters having
additional extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become
dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
stressed.
- In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly downhill
and increase susceptibility to rockslides.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from an isolated tornado or two are still unfolding
across southeast Connecticut and eastern Long Island as rain bands move
onshore. Remain prepared for a tornado event having possible impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and
Southern Connecticut, little to no impact is anticipated.
* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
High surf, dangerous rip currents, beach flooding, dune erosion, and
localized overwashes are all expected along the south shore of Long
Island, especially across eastern Suffolk County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local officials for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time to
get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle ahead
of time. Follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic information
on roadway signs, on the radio, and from official sources. Let others
know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose items and
pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.
During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.
Keep your cell phone charged and in power saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
checkins.
If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.
If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see http://ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see
http://getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see
http://redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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