[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 202056
HLSPHI
NJZ012>014-210500-

Tropical Storm Henri Local Statement Advisory Number 20
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ  AL082021
456 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021

This product covers NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY

**HENRI ALMOST A HURRICANE**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Eastern Monmouth,
      Middlesex, and Western Monmouth

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Eastern Monmouth,
      Middlesex, and Western Monmouth

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 640 miles south of Sandy Hook NJ
    - 31.2N 73.9W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Henri is approximately 350 miles southeast of Cape
Hatteras, and will track north along the Eastern Seaboard tonight
through Sunday. Henri is expected to strengthen to hurricane force
before making landfall over Long Island on Sunday afternoon.

The main threat with this system is for tropical storm force winds in
northeast New Jersey. Locally heavy rain may lead to localized flash
flooding in northeast New Jersey. With a full moon this weekend, minor
coastal flooding is possible, but if Henri takes a more western track
closer to New Jersey, more widespread and significant coastal flooding
will be possible for New Jersey.

Dangerous marine conditions will develop over the northern Atlantic
Waters with strong winds, rough seas, and dangerous rip currents. Seas
will build to six to ten feet. Dangerous rip currents will likely
occur along the ocean beaches of New Jersey.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
portions of northeast New Jersey. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across portions of northeast New Jersey. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across NEW JERSEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets
for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mount Holly NJ around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

MPS
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