[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 16 16:31:10 CDT 2021


WTUS82 KTAE 162130
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>018-026>028-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ120>123-142>145-155>157-170530-

Tropical Storm Fred Local Statement Advisory Number 29
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL062021
530 PM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021 /430 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021/

This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia

**Tropical Storm Fred made landfall near Cape San Blas and continues slowly
 moving inland**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Coastal Dixie
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baker, Calhoun,
      Calhoun, Central Walton, Clay, Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf,
      Coffee, Dale, Decatur, Early, Gadsden, Geneva, Grady, Henry,
      Holmes, Houston, Inland Bay, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf,
      Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland Wakulla, Jackson, Leon,
      Liberty, Miller, Mitchell, North Walton, Quitman, Randolph,
      Seminole, South Walton, and Washington
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, and
      Coastal Wakulla

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 30 miles east-southeast of Panama City or about 20 miles
      west-northwest of Apalachicola
    - 29.9N 85.3W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Fred made landfall near Cape San Blas this afternoon and
continues a slow north movement into the Apalachicola National Forest.
Weakening of Fred will continue as it moves further inland. Wind gusts
into the mid 60 miles per hour range were noted along the western
Florida Big Bend coastline from Apalachicola northward into Franklin
county. As well, strong winds continue on the west side of the center
of circulation with near 60 miles an hour wind gusts in Bay county
Florida. These strong winds will shift slowly north and east with time
this evening.

Heavy rainfall and flooding continue to be a major hazard with
Tropical Storm Fred. Widespread rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with
isolated amounts near 12 inches will be possible across the Florida
Panhandle, with a widespread 3 to 5 inches, isolated 9 inches possible
for Southeast Alabama, portions of Southwest Georgia, and the western
Florida Big Bend. These amounts would likely result in flash flooding
and river flooding across the area. A Flash Flood Watch remains in
effect from Tallahassee to Albany and areas westward.

The storm surge threat remains unchanged across the area today and
tonight. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for all of Apalachee
Bay. Three to five feet of inundation will be possible from Franklin
to Taylor County with 2-4 feet of inundation possible along the Dixie
County coast. Minor coastal flooding of 1 to 3 feet will be possible
along the Panhandle Coast where a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect.

Tropical storm force winds will be possible across the region and this
may result in downed trees and power lines that could cause a few
power outages. In addition a few tornadoes will be possible.

Additional hazards will include dangerous marine conditions, deadly
rip currents, high surf, and beach erosion.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Panhandle, western Big Bend, and
SE Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across the eastern Florida Big Bend and SW
Georgia.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
coastal areas of the eastern Florida Panhandle and western Big Bend.
Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having additional significant
impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.


* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the Florida Panhandle.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across eastern Florida Panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern
Alabama and southwestern Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check- ins.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge
warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic rise
in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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