[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 161554
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-170000-

Tropical Storm Fred Local Statement Advisory Number 28
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL062021
1054 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**FRED EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Covington, Okaloosa
      Coastal, and Okaloosa Inland

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 180 miles southeast of Mobile AL or about 130 miles
      southeast of Pensacola FL
    - 29.2N 85.7W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

As of 10:00 AM CDT, Tropical Storm Fred was located about 55 miles
southwest of Apalachicola, Florida and moving to the north at 10
mph. Based on the latest track, Fred is expected to continue advancing
northward and make landfall along the eastern Florida panhandle this
afternoon or early evening. The primary threat will be the potential
for heavy rainfall across Okaloosa county Florida and Crenshaw and
Covington counties in south central Alabama.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Okaloosa county, Florida
and Covington county, Alabama.  Minor coastal flooding of 1 to
3 feet could be possible across coastal areas of the western Florida
panhandle. Dangerous surf and rip currents will also begin to impact
area beaches today.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Okaloosa county, Florida and Crenshaw and
Covington counties, Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Okaloosa county, Florida and Covington county, Alabama. Potential impacts
in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere, little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Protect against dangerous surf conditions along beaches of coastal
Alabama and coastal western Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts
include:
- Dangerous surf heights which can be dangerous to swimmers and beachgoers.
- Deadly rip currents that can quickly pull anyone caught out to sea.
    - Significant beach erosion and wave runup possibly leading to
      flooded roadways along coastal barrier islands.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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