[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 160325
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-161130-

Tropical Storm Fred Local Statement Advisory Number 26
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL062021
1025 PM CDT Sun Aug 15 2021

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS FRED A LITTLE STRONGER**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Covington
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been cancelled for Escambia
      Coastal, Escambia Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
      Inland

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Covington, Okaloosa
      Coastal, and Okaloosa Inland

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 220 miles south-southeast of Fort Walton Beach FL or
      about 220 miles south of Destin FL
    - 27.3N 85.9W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

As of 10:00 PM CDT, Tropical Storm Fred was located about 200 miles south
of Panama City, Florida and moving to the north-northwest at 9 mph. Based
on the latest track, Fred is expected to continue advancing northward and
make landfall along the western Florida panhandle early Monday evening.
The primary threat will be the potential for heavy rainfall across portions
of the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama.

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for Covington county Alabama. A
Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Okaloosa county Florida. The
Tropical Storm Watch for Escambia and Santa Rosa counties Florida has been
cancelled. A few tornadoes could be possible with any bands beginning during
the day Monday and persisting through Tuesday, especially along and east of
a line from Butler Alabama to Pensacola Florida. Minor coastal flooding of
1 to 3 feet could be possible across coastal areas of the western Florida
panhandle and Alabama. Dangerous surf and rip currents will also begin to
impact area beaches as early as this evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts mainly across the western Florida Panhandle and
south central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama and inland southeast
Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
the northwest Florida Panhandle and a portion of south central
Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...south central
Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama.
Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama and inland southeast
Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal portions of the western Florida Panhandle and
Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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