[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 15 22:05:10 CDT 2021
WTUS82 KTAE 160304
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ121-142-143-155-156-161115-
Tropical Storm Fred Local Statement Advisory Number 26
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL AL062021
1104 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 /1004 PM CDT Sun Aug 15 2021/
This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia
**FRED TO BRING STRONG TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE AREA**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Coastal Franklin and Coastal Wakulla
- A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal
Jefferson, and Coastal Taylor
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Calhoun, Central
Walton, Clay, Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, Coffee, Dale, Decatur,
Early, Gadsden, Geneva, Henry, Holmes, Houston, Inland Bay,
Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Inland Wakulla, Jackson, Leon,
Liberty, Miller, North Walton, Seminole, South Walton, and
Washington
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 190 miles south of Panama City or about 180 miles
south-southwest of Apalachicola
- 27.3N 85.9W
- Storm Intensity 50 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Fred is continuing to move north-northwestward across
the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight, and a turn to the north is
expected Monday. Rain bands from Fred are expected to begin arriving
overnight tonight and will continue to spread inland throughout the
day Monday. The forecast for Fred has slowed down a bit, with a
landfall now expected tomorrow late afternoon or evening along the
eastern FL Panhandle coast as a strong tropical storm. A few gusts to
hurricane force will be possible within the heavies rain bands just
east of the center. Watches and warnings remain unchanged for this
advisory package.
The main hazard to the region is expected to be heavy rainfall and
flooding. A widespread 4 to 8 inches of rainfall with isolated amounts
near 12 inches will be possible across the Florida Panhandle, with a
widespread 3 to 5 inches, isolated 9 inches possible for Southeast
Alabama, portions of Southwest Georgia, and the western Florida Big
Bend. These amounts would likely result in flash flooding and river
flooding across the area. Therefore, a Flash Flood Watch is in effect
from Tallahassee to Albany and areas westward.
The storm surge threat remains unchanged across the are tonight, and
the Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for all of Apalachee Bay.
Three to five feet of inundation will be possible from Franklin to
Taylor County with 2-4 feet of inundation possible along the Dixie
County coast. Minor coastal flooding of 1 to 3 feet will be possible
along the Panhandle Coast where a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect.
Tropical storm force winds will be possible across the region and this
may result in downed trees and power lines that could cause a few
power outages. In addition a few tornadoes will be possible.
Additional hazards will include dangerous marine conditions, deadly
rip currents, high surf, and beach erosion.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Panhandle and western Big Bend.
Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to
significant impacts elsewhere across the Florida Big Bend, SE Alabama,
and SW Georgia.
* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across the eastern Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across The Florida Big Bend, SE Alabama, and SW Georgia.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the FL Panhandle Coast.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern
Alabama and southwestern Georgia. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city in which
you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides.
Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for
instructions from local authorities.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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