[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 140918
HLSKEY
FLZ078-141630-

Tropical Depression Fred Local Statement Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL062021
518 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021

This product covers the Florida Keys

**Tropical Storm Warning Remains in Effect for the Lower Keys**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 90 miles south of Key West FL
    - 23.3N 81.7W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Depression Fred has changed little in strength overnight, and
continues to move westward at 13 mph near the north coast of central
Cuba. Fred is expected to track near or west of the Dry Tortugas this
evening, then potentially strengthen into a tropical storm as it pulls
away from the Dry Tortugas. Hazards for the Florida Keys will include
flooding rainfall, isolated tornadoes, and treacherous marine
conditions. Thundery squalls will be capable of localized wind gusts
near 45 mph and lightning strikes. Conditions are not likely to improve
until early Sunday morning.

Additional rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated higher amounts,
may cause significant rainwater flooding of roadways and poor drainage
areas. A Flood Watch remains in effect through early Sunday morning.
Heavy rainfall will be exacerbated during the times of high tide.

At this time, there is little if any potential for coastal flooding.
However, significant wave overwash along south-facing shorelines will
be possible, especially near the times of high tide.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across the
Florida Keys. Remain well guarded against dangerous flood waters having
significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across the
Lower Keys. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having limited
impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Some tree limbs broken off.
    - Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated
      roadways.
    - Isolated power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across the Florida Keys, little to no wind impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across the Florida
Keys. Remain well braced against a tornado event having possible
limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across the Florida
Keys.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
No mandatory evacuations are expected for this storm.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of possible
flooding and strong winds in squalls.

Hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and
tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm.

If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground.
Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't
drown.

Isolated tornadoes will be possible with this storm. Have multiple
ways to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
monroecountyem.com/782/Emergency-Management
- For Monroe County EM Hurricane Preparedness Information, see
  monroecountyem.com/1214/Hurricane-Preparedness

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around 1200 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

CLR
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