[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 091736
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure
located about 100 miles east-northeast of Barbados continue to show
signs of organization. However, recent satellite wind data indicates
that the system currently lacks a well-defined center.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for
additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
later today or tonight while the low moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.  The disturbance is forecast to move through portions of
the Lesser Antilles tonight, then move near the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico on Tuesday, and Hispaniola on Wednesday. Tropical storm
watches or warnings could be required this afternoon with
shorter-than-normal lead times for portions of the Lesser Antilles,
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.  In addition, heavy rains and
flooding are likely for the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico.  Interests in those areas should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms in association with an elongated low
pressure area located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles have diminished.  Environmental conditions have become
unfavorable and development of this system is no longer expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Papin
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