[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 072315
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 7 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about a hundred miles southwest of the
southwesternmost Cabo Verde Islands have been decreasing during the
past several hours.  Strong upper-level winds and cooler waters are
expected to prevent significant development of this system while it
moves toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph during the
next few days.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall
and gusty winds still are possible over portions of the westernmost
Cabo Verde Islands through Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A small but well-defined area of low pressure located over the
tropical Atlantic about a thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands continues to produce limited shower activity.
Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more
favorable for gradual development over the next several days, and
this system could become a tropical depression by the middle of next
week.  The system is forecast to drift toward the west-southwest or
west during the next couple of days, and then move a little faster
toward the west-northwest by mid-week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic several
hundred miles east of the Windward Islands.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, reaching portions of the Lesser
Antilles late Monday and then moving across the eastern Caribbean
Sea and Greater Antilles through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net