[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 6 00:38:19 CDT 2021


ABNT20 KNHC 060538
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 6 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is
associated with a tropical wave interacting with a broader surface
trough.  Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally
west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
to produce some disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  This system
is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and some
slow development is possible early next week when it is expected to
be near the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven
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